Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Cincinnati Reds predictions

Every Cincinnati Reds game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.

No upcoming Cincinnati Reds game on the board right now — today's slate has what is live.

How the model has done on Cincinnati Reds

MeasureGamesRight Hit rate
Every Cincinnati Reds game we called 7540 53.3%
Games where the model made Cincinnati Reds the favorite 168 50.0%

A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Cincinnati Reds correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.

Recent Cincinnati Reds calls

DateGameCalled ConfidenceFinal
2026-09-27 Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 60.6% 1-5 ✓
2026-09-26 Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 59.4% 5-1 ✗
2026-09-25 Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 58.4% 5-6 ✓
2026-09-24 Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves 66.7% 7-6 ✗
2026-09-23 Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves 70.1% 2-3 ✓
2026-09-22 Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves 67.0% 4-0 ✗
2026-09-20 Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds Chicago Cubs 59.4% 9-1 ✓
2026-09-19 Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds Chicago Cubs 57.0% 5-2 ✓
2026-09-18 Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds Chicago Cubs 57.5% 4-6 ✗
2026-09-17 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds Los Angeles Dodgers 59.9% 8-2 ✓

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