Colorado Rockies at New York Yankees
MLB · Tuesday, September 8, 2026 · 7:06 PM
The model's call
New York Yankees to win
Model confidence 73.0%
Books consensus 73.0%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Colorado Rockies | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +260 | -325 |
| BetRivers | +265 | -335 |
| DraftKings | +246 | -311 |
| ESPN BET | +260 | -320 |
| Fanatics | +240 | -300 |
| FanDuel | +265 | -330 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +250 | -325 |
| Caesars | +255 | -295 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.
| Venue | Colorado Rockies | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 27.4% | 74.7% |
| Kalshi contract price | 26.9% | 73.1% |
| Polymarket contract price | 27.5% | 72.5% |
| Markets average | 27.2% | 72.8% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.
Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts
involve risk; this is not investment advice.