Tampa Bay Rays at Atlanta Braves
All Tampa Bay Rays predictions · All Atlanta Braves predictions
MLB · Tuesday, September 8, 2026 · 7:16 PM · Final: 7-1
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Tampa Bay Rays | Atlanta Braves |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -102 | -118 |
| BetRivers | -109 | -110 |
| DraftKings | -103 | -117 |
| ESPN BET | +100 | -113 |
| Fanatics | -105 | -115 |
| FanDuel | -102 | -116 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -105 | -115 |
| Caesars | +101 | -111 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Rays | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | −1.5 +155 | +1.5 -190 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +162 | +1.5 -197 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +165 | +1.5 -200 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +155 | +1.5 -190 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +146 | +1.5 -178 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +155 | +1.5 -190 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -210 | −1.5 +175 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8.5 -115 | 8.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -117 |
| DraftKings | 8.5 -115 | 8.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 -115 | 8.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 8.5 -110 | 8.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 -114 | 8.5 -106 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 -115 | 8.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Tampa Bay Rays | Atlanta Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 48.6% | 51.4% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 49.8% | 52.4% |
| Kalshi contract price | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| Markets average | 48.5% | 51.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.