Toronto Blue Jays at Athletics
MLB · Tuesday, September 8, 2026 · 9:41 PM
The model's call
Toronto Blue Jays to win
Model confidence 61.4%
Books consensus 61.4%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Toronto Blue Jays | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -185 | +150 |
| DraftKings | -184 | +152 |
| ESPN BET | -175 | +150 |
| Fanatics | -170 | +140 |
| FanDuel | -172 | +144 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -175 | +145 |
| Caesars | -177 | +162 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.
| Venue | Toronto Blue Jays | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 63.0% | 38.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 62.3% | 37.7% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.
Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts
involve risk; this is not investment advice.