Toronto Blue Jays at Athletics
MLB · Wednesday, September 9, 2026 · 3:06 PM
The model's call
Toronto Blue Jays to win
Model confidence 62.0%
Books consensus 62.0%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Toronto Blue Jays | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -190 | +154 |
| BetRivers | -162 | +135 |
| DraftKings | -186 | +153 |
| ESPN BET | -175 | +150 |
| Fanatics | -180 | +150 |
| FanDuel | -180 | +152 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -190 | +155 |
| Caesars | -190 | +158 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.
| Venue | Toronto Blue Jays | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 61.8% | 38.8% |
| Kalshi contract price | 63.5% | 36.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.
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