Los Angeles Angels at Washington Nationals
All Los Angeles Angels predictions · All Washington Nationals predictions
MLB · Friday, September 11, 2026 · 6:46 PM · Final: 3-4
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Los Angeles Angels | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +135 | -160 |
| BetRivers | +145 | -177 |
| DraftKings | +133 | -161 |
| ESPN BET | +140 | -159 |
| Fanatics | +130 | -155 |
| FanDuel | +132 | -156 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +130 | -160 |
| Caesars | +140 | -165 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Angels | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +135 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -148 | −1.5 +118 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -162 | −1.5 +134 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -165 | −1.5 +140 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -165 | −1.5 +135 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -170 | −1.5 +140 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -165 | −1.5 +140 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -164 | −1.5 +139 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | 8 -115 | 8 -124 |
| DraftKings | 7.5 -117 | 7.5 -103 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 7.5 -124 | 7.5 +104 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Los Angeles Angels | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 40.9% | 59.1% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 40.8% | 60.8% |
| Kalshi contract price | 40.9% | 59.1% |
| Polymarket contract price | 41.5% | 58.5% |
| Markets average | 41.2% | 58.8% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.