Los Angeles Angels at Washington Nationals
All Los Angeles Angels predictions · All Washington Nationals predictions
MLB · Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 4:06 PM · Final: 5-6
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Los Angeles Angels | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +110 | -135 |
| BetRivers | +108 | -129 |
| DraftKings | +109 | -132 |
| ESPN BET | +115 | -135 |
| Fanatics | +110 | -130 |
| FanDuel | +112 | -132 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +110 | -130 |
| Caesars | +115 | -135 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Angels | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +155 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -195 | −1.5 +155 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -193 | −1.5 +159 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -200 | −1.5 +165 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +155 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -184 | −1.5 +152 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +160 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +158 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8.5 -115 | 8.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | 8.5 -109 | 8.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | 8.5 -120 | 8.5 -101 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 8.5 -115 | 8.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 -114 | 8.5 -106 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 -110 | 8.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 8.5 -115 | 8.5 -105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Los Angeles Angels | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 46.5% | 56.3% |
| Kalshi contract price | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Markets average | 46.0% | 54.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.