Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays
All Baltimore Orioles predictions · All Toronto Blue Jays predictions
MLB · Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 1:38 PM · Final: 1-8
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Baltimore Orioles | Toronto Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +130 | -155 |
| BetRivers | +123 | -148 |
| DraftKings | +127 | -154 |
| ESPN BET | +130 | -150 |
| Fanatics | +125 | -150 |
| FanDuel | +130 | -154 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +125 | -150 |
| Caesars | +130 | -155 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Orioles | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -180 | −1.5 +145 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -182 | −1.5 +148 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -175 | −1.5 +144 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -180 | −1.5 +150 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -180 | −1.5 +145 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -176 | −1.5 +146 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -180 | −1.5 +150 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -178 | −1.5 +150 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -125 |
| BetRivers | 7.5 -103 | 7.5 -121 |
| DraftKings | 7 -120 | 7 -101 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | 7 -120 | 7 +100 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 +104 | 7.5 -128 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -125 |
| Caesars | 7 -120 | 7 +100 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Baltimore Orioles | Toronto Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 43.5% | 59.7% |
| Kalshi contract price | 42.1% | 57.9% |
| Polymarket contract price | 41.5% | 58.5% |
| Markets average | 41.8% | 58.2% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.