Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs
All Atlanta Braves predictions · All Chicago Cubs predictions
MLB · Monday, September 14, 2026 · 7:41 PM · Final: 3-7
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Atlanta Braves | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +115 | -140 |
| BetRivers | +114 | -136 |
| DraftKings | +113 | -136 |
| ESPN BET | +115 | -135 |
| Fanatics | +115 | -140 |
| FanDuel | +116 | -134 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +115 | -135 |
| Caesars | +115 | -135 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Braves | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +1.5 -180 | −1.5 +145 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -172 | −1.5 +142 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -180 | −1.5 +150 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -170 | −1.5 +140 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -172 | −1.5 +142 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -175 | −1.5 +145 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +135 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 9.5 -105 | 9.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | 9.5 -112 | 9.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | 9.5 -108 | 9.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | 9.5 +100 | 9.5 -120 |
| Fanatics | 9.5 -105 | 9.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 9.5 -105 | 9.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 9.5 -105 | 9.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 9.5 -115 | 9.5 -105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Atlanta Braves | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 44.7% | 55.3% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 46.3% | 57.3% |
| Kalshi contract price | 44.5% | 55.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 44.5% | 55.5% |
| Markets average | 44.5% | 55.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.