Chicago Cubs predictions
Every Chicago Cubs game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.
No upcoming Chicago Cubs game on the board right now —
today's slate has what is live.
How the model has done on Chicago Cubs
| Measure | Games | Right | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Every Chicago Cubs game we called | 76 | 40 | 52.6% |
| Games where the model made Chicago Cubs the favorite | 54 | 29 | 53.7% |
A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Chicago Cubs correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.
Recent Chicago Cubs calls
| Date | Game | Called | Confidence | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 56.6% | 1-4 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 55.3% | 0-8 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-27 | Chicago Cubs @ Boston Red Sox | Chicago Cubs | 52.2% | 6-2 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-25 | Chicago Cubs @ Boston Red Sox | Chicago Cubs | 52.2% | 0-2 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-25 | Chicago Cubs @ Boston Red Sox | Chicago Cubs | 53.1% | 3-4 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-24 | Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 65.2% | 1-2 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-23 | Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 62.5% | 3-2 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-22 | Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 65.0% | 8-2 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-20 | Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds | Chicago Cubs | 59.4% | 9-1 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-19 | Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds | Chicago Cubs | 57.0% | 5-2 | ✓ |