Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians
All Chicago White Sox predictions · All Cleveland Guardians predictions
MLB · Monday, September 14, 2026 · 6:41 PM · Final: 7-3
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Chicago White Sox | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +150 | -185 |
| BetRivers | +130 | -157 |
| DraftKings | +152 | -184 |
| ESPN BET | +140 | -165 |
| Fanatics | +150 | -180 |
| FanDuel | +150 | -178 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +145 | -180 |
| Caesars | +152 | -180 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | White Sox | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +125 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -177 | −1.5 +143 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -156 | −1.5 +129 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -165 | −1.5 +140 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -165 | −1.5 +135 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -152 | −1.5 +126 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +130 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +130 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7 +100 | 7 -120 |
| BetRivers | 7 -118 | 7 -121 |
| DraftKings | 7 -104 | 7 -116 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +115 |
| Fanatics | 7 -105 | 7 -115 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 -134 | 6.5 +110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +110 |
| Caesars | 7 -110 | 7 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Chicago White Sox | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 38.4% | 61.6% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 39.7% | 61.1% |
| Kalshi contract price | 39.5% | 60.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 40.5% | 59.5% |
| Markets average | 40.0% | 60.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.