New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins
All New York Yankees predictions · All Minnesota Twins predictions
MLB · Monday, September 14, 2026 · 7:41 PM · Final: 8-3
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New York Yankees | Minnesota Twins |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -130 | +105 |
| BetRivers | -132 | +110 |
| DraftKings | -132 | +110 |
| ESPN BET | -120 | +100 |
| Fanatics | -125 | +105 |
| FanDuel | -132 | +112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -130 | +110 |
| Caesars | -130 | +110 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Yankees | Twins |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -155 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +126 | +1.5 -152 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +130 | +1.5 -155 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -145 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +122 | +1.5 -146 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +130 | +1.5 -155 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +126 | +1.5 -150 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | 8.5 -104 | 8.5 -118 |
| DraftKings | 8.5 -112 | 8.5 -107 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 8 -125 | 8 +105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | New York Yankees | Minnesota Twins |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 54.3% | 45.7% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 54.5% | 47.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Markets average | 53.5% | 46.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.