Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies
All Cincinnati Reds predictions · All Colorado Rockies predictions
MLB · Friday, July 17, 2026 · 8:41 PM · Final: 7-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Cincinnati Reds | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -105 | -115 |
| BetRivers | -104 | -110 |
| DraftKings | -108 | -112 |
| ESPN BET | -105 | -115 |
| Fanatics | -105 | -115 |
| FanDuel | -102 | -116 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -105 | -115 |
| Caesars | -105 | -115 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Reds | Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +145 | +1.5 -175 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +143 | +1.5 -177 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +138 | +1.5 -167 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +145 | +1.5 -175 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +140 | +1.5 -170 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +146 | +1.5 -178 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +145 | +1.5 -170 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +158 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 12 -110 | 12 -110 |
| BetRivers | 12 -104 | 12 -115 |
| DraftKings | 12 -111 | 12 -109 |
| ESPN BET | 12.5 +105 | 12.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | 12 -115 | 12 -105 |
| FanDuel | 12 -110 | 12 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 11.5 -125 | 11.5 +105 |
| Caesars | 12 -110 | 12 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Cincinnati Reds | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 50.5% | 52.4% |
| Polymarket contract price | 48.5% | 51.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.