Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels
All Seattle Mariners predictions · All Los Angeles Angels predictions
MLB · Tuesday, September 15, 2026 · 9:38 PM
The model's call
Seattle Mariners to win
Model confidence 59.9%
Books consensus 59.9%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Seattle Mariners | Los Angeles Angels |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -167 | +138 |
| ESPN BET | -165 | +140 |
| Fanatics | -170 | +140 |
| FanDuel | -172 | +144 |
| Caesars | -160 | +135 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.
| Venue | Seattle Mariners | Los Angeles Angels |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 59.9% | 40.1% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 61.5% | 41.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 58.8% | 41.2% |
| Polymarket contract price | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Markets average | 58.7% | 41.3% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.
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