Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Seattle Mariners predictions

Every Seattle Mariners game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.

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Seattle Mariners @ Athletics

2026-09-12 · 9:41 PM · Seattle Mariners on the road · see the model's call and the best price →

How the model has done on Seattle Mariners

MeasureGamesRight Hit rate
Every Seattle Mariners game we called 5728 49.1%
Games where the model made Seattle Mariners the favorite 3012 40.0%

A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Seattle Mariners correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.

Recent Seattle Mariners calls

DateGameCalled ConfidenceFinal
2026-09-10 Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners 51.7% 3-4
2026-09-09 Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners 58.1% 2-3
2026-09-08 Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners 53.4% 10-5
2026-09-06 Athletics @ Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners 65.8% 0-2
2026-09-05 Athletics @ Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners 68.2% 6-2
2026-09-04 Athletics @ Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners 68.1% 7-6
2026-09-03 Athletics @ Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners 65.5% 7-4
2026-09-02 Seattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 57.4% 8-3
2026-09-01 Seattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 52.2% 9-6
2026-08-31 Seattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 59.5% 8-9

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