Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates
All Milwaukee Brewers predictions · All Pittsburgh Pirates predictions
MLB · Tuesday, September 15, 2026 · 6:41 PM
The model's call
Milwaukee Brewers to win
Model confidence 68.9%
Books consensus 68.9%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Milwaukee Brewers | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -250 | +200 |
| DraftKings | -260 | +209 |
| ESPN BET | -250 | +210 |
| Fanatics | -260 | +210 |
| FanDuel | -250 | +205 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -250 | +200 |
| Caesars | -260 | +210 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.
| Venue | Milwaukee Brewers | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 68.9% | 31.1% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 71.4% | 32.3% |
| Kalshi contract price | 67.8% | 32.2% |
| Polymarket contract price | 68.5% | 31.5% |
| Markets average | 68.1% | 31.9% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.
Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts
involve risk; this is not investment advice.