Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds
All Los Angeles Dodgers predictions · All Cincinnati Reds predictions
MLB · Wednesday, September 16, 2026 · 6:41 PM · Final: 2-6
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Los Angeles Dodgers | Cincinnati Reds |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -225 | +185 |
| BetRivers | -265 | +215 |
| DraftKings | -225 | +183 |
| ESPN BET | -215 | +180 |
| Fanatics | -225 | +185 |
| FanDuel | -220 | +184 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -225 | +185 |
| Caesars | -225 | +185 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Dodgers | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 -140 | +1.5 +118 |
| BetRivers | −2 -121 | +2 +100 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 -133 | +1.5 +110 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 -130 | +1.5 +110 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 -135 | +1.5 +110 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 -130 | +1.5 +108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 -130 | +1.5 +110 |
| Caesars | −1.5 -140 | +1.5 +118 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8 -120 | 8 +100 |
| BetRivers | 8 -125 | 8 -113 |
| DraftKings | 8 -118 | 8 -102 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 +100 | 8.5 -120 |
| Fanatics | 8 -115 | 8 -105 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 -102 | 8.5 -120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 +100 | 8.5 -120 |
| Caesars | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Los Angeles Dodgers | Cincinnati Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 66.4% | 33.6% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 68.3% | 31.7% |
| Kalshi contract price | 67.5% | 32.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 67.5% | 32.5% |
| Markets average | 67.5% | 32.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.