Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs
All Atlanta Braves predictions · All Chicago Cubs predictions
MLB · Wednesday, September 16, 2026 · 7:41 PM · Final: 4-8
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Atlanta Braves | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +140 | -170 |
| BetRivers | +130 | -157 |
| DraftKings | +140 | -170 |
| ESPN BET | +135 | -155 |
| Fanatics | +140 | -170 |
| FanDuel | +136 | -162 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +135 | -160 |
| Caesars | +140 | -165 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Braves | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +1.5 -159 | −1.5 +128 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -163 | −1.5 +135 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +135 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -170 | −1.5 +140 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -162 | −1.5 +134 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -165 | −1.5 +140 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -165 | −1.5 +140 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | 7.5 -113 | 7.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 -112 | 7.5 -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Atlanta Braves | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 40.4% | 59.6% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 41.7% | 60.8% |
| Kalshi contract price | 40.5% | 59.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 40.5% | 59.5% |
| Markets average | 40.5% | 59.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.