Milwaukee Brewers at Baltimore Orioles
All Milwaukee Brewers predictions · All Baltimore Orioles predictions
MLB · Friday, September 18, 2026 · 7:06 PM · Final: 6-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Milwaukee Brewers | Baltimore Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -155 | +125 |
| BetRivers | -148 | +120 |
| DraftKings | -149 | +124 |
| ESPN BET | -145 | +125 |
| Fanatics | -150 | +125 |
| FanDuel | -144 | +122 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -145 | +125 |
| Caesars | -150 | +126 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Brewers | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +110 | +1.5 -135 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +106 | +1.5 -129 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +112 | +1.5 -135 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +115 | +1.5 -135 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +110 | +1.5 -135 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +112 | +1.5 -134 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +110 | +1.5 -135 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +113 | +1.5 -134 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8.5 -102 | 8.5 -118 |
| BetRivers | 8.5 -108 | 8.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | 8 -118 | 8 -102 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 -110 | 8.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 8 -115 | 8 -105 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 -108 | 8.5 -112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 8.5 -106 | 8.5 -112 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Milwaukee Brewers | Baltimore Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 57.2% | 42.8% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 59.0% | 44.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Markets average | 58.5% | 41.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.