Minnesota Twins at Chicago Cubs
All Minnesota Twins predictions · All Chicago Cubs predictions
MLB · Friday, July 17, 2026 · 8:06 PM · Final: 5-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Minnesota Twins | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +130 | -155 |
| BetRivers | +123 | -141 |
| DraftKings | +129 | -156 |
| ESPN BET | +130 | -150 |
| Fanatics | +125 | -150 |
| FanDuel | +124 | -146 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +125 | -150 |
| Caesars | +130 | -155 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Twins | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +1.5 -162 | −1.5 +133 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -156 | −1.5 +129 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +135 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -165 | −1.5 +135 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -156 | −1.5 +130 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +130 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +130 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 11 -110 | 11 -110 |
| BetRivers | 11 -104 | 11 -115 |
| DraftKings | 11 -110 | 11 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 11.5 +105 | 11.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | 11 -110 | 11 -110 |
| FanDuel | 11 -110 | 11 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 11.5 +110 | 11.5 -135 |
| Caesars | 11 -115 | 11 -105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Minnesota Twins | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 42.3% | 57.7% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 43.5% | 58.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 42.5% | 57.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.