New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks
All New York Yankees predictions · All Arizona Diamondbacks predictions
MLB · Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 8:41 PM · Final: 3-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New York Yankees | Arizona Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -160 | +135 |
| BetRivers | -143 | +120 |
| DraftKings | -164 | +136 |
| ESPN BET | -165 | +140 |
| Fanatics | -165 | +135 |
| FanDuel | -158 | +134 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -165 | +135 |
| Caesars | -162 | +137 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Yankees | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +105 | +1.5 -125 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +123 | +1.5 -148 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +108 | +1.5 -130 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +110 | +1.5 -130 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +110 | +1.5 -135 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +112 | +1.5 -134 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +105 | +1.5 -125 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +111 | +1.5 -130 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -120 |
| BetRivers | 7 -136 | 7 -106 |
| DraftKings | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -120 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -125 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 +102 | 7.5 -124 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -120 |
| Caesars | 7.5 +104 | 7.5 -122 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | New York Yankees | Arizona Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 59.4% | 40.6% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 58.8% | 41.7% |
| Kalshi contract price | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| Markets average | 59.5% | 40.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.