Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves
All Cincinnati Reds predictions · All Atlanta Braves predictions
MLB · Tuesday, September 22, 2026 · 7:16 PM · Final: 4-0
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Cincinnati Reds | Atlanta Braves |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +190 | -235 |
| BetRivers | +190 | -235 |
| DraftKings | +197 | -244 |
| ESPN BET | +160 | -190 |
| Fanatics | +190 | -235 |
| FanDuel | +190 | -230 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +195 | -230 |
| Caesars | +197 | -240 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Reds | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -110 | −1.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -108 | −1.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -108 | −1.5 -111 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -135 | −1.5 +115 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -110 | −1.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -111 | −1.5 -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -110 | −1.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -107 | −1.5 -111 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 9.5 -102 | 9.5 -118 |
| BetRivers | 9.5 -103 | 9.5 -120 |
| DraftKings | 9.5 +100 | 9.5 -120 |
| ESPN BET | 9.5 +105 | 9.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | 9.5 +100 | 9.5 -120 |
| FanDuel | 9.5 +106 | 9.5 -130 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 9.5 +100 | 9.5 -120 |
| Caesars | 9.5 +105 | 9.5 -124 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Cincinnati Reds | Atlanta Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 33.7% | 65.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 31.5% | 68.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 31.5% | 68.5% |
| Markets average | 31.5% | 68.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.