Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Los Angeles Angels at Athletics

All Los Angeles Angels predictions · All Athletics predictions

MLB · Tuesday, September 22, 2026 · 9:41 PM

The model's call
Los Angeles Angels to win
Model confidence 50.0%
Books consensus 50.0%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Los Angeles AngelsAthletics
BetMGM -110 -110
BetRivers -109 -109
DraftKings -108 -112
ESPN BET -110 -110
Fanatics -110 -110
FanDuel -104 -112
Hard Rock Bet -110 -110

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Los Angeles AngelsAthletics
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 50.0% 50.0%
Best book price incl. vig 51.0% 52.2%
Kalshi contract price 50.0% 50.0%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts involve risk; this is not investment advice.

Back to today's board · The full record