Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Los Angeles Angels at Athletics

All Los Angeles Angels predictions · All Athletics predictions

MLB · Wednesday, September 23, 2026 · 9:41 PM

The model's call
Los Angeles Angels to win
Model confidence 54.3%
Books consensus 54.3%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Los Angeles AngelsAthletics
BetMGM -135 +110
BetRivers -129 +108
DraftKings -135 +112
ESPN BET -130 +110
Fanatics -130 +110
FanDuel -134 +114
Hard Rock Bet -130 +110
Caesars -129 +110

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Los Angeles AngelsAthletics
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 54.3% 45.7%
Best book price incl. vig 56.3% 46.7%
Kalshi contract price 54.9% 45.1%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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