Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers
All Washington Nationals predictions · All Detroit Tigers predictions
MLB · Wednesday, September 23, 2026 · 1:11 PM · Final: 4-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Washington Nationals | Detroit Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +140 | -170 |
| BetRivers | +150 | -182 |
| DraftKings | +139 | -168 |
| ESPN BET | +145 | -170 |
| Fanatics | +140 | -170 |
| FanDuel | +140 | -166 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +145 | -170 |
| Caesars | +141 | -170 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Nationals | Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +125 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -141 | −1.5 +116 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -157 | −1.5 +130 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +130 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +130 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -162 | −1.5 +134 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +130 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -154 | −1.5 +131 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 7.5 -117 | 7.5 -105 |
| DraftKings | 7.5 -109 | 7.5 -111 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 8 +100 | 8 -120 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Washington Nationals | Detroit Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 39.8% | 60.2% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 40.0% | 62.4% |
| Kalshi contract price | 39.5% | 60.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 38.5% | 61.5% |
| Markets average | 39.0% | 61.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.