Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays
All Cincinnati Reds predictions · All Toronto Blue Jays predictions
MLB · Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 3:08 PM · Final: 5-1
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Cincinnati Reds | Toronto Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +135 | -165 |
| BetRivers | +120 | -148 |
| DraftKings | +140 | -169 |
| ESPN BET | +140 | -165 |
| Fanatics | +135 | -165 |
| FanDuel | +136 | -162 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +135 | -160 |
| Caesars | +137 | -162 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Reds | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +125 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -152 | −1.5 +125 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -149 | −1.5 +124 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +135 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +130 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -154 | −1.5 +128 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +135 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -154 | −1.5 +132 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8 -120 | 8 +100 |
| BetRivers | 8 -121 | 8 -118 |
| DraftKings | 8 -119 | 8 -101 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 8.5 +100 | 8.5 -120 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 +100 | 8.5 -122 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 +100 | 8.5 -120 |
| Caesars | 8.5 +103 | 8.5 -122 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Cincinnati Reds | Toronto Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 40.6% | 59.4% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 41.7% | 59.7% |
| Kalshi contract price | 40.5% | 59.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 40.5% | 59.5% |
| Markets average | 40.5% | 59.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.