Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays
All Cincinnati Reds predictions · All Toronto Blue Jays predictions
MLB · Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 3:08 PM · Final: 1-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Cincinnati Reds | Toronto Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +140 | -170 |
| BetRivers | +143 | -175 |
| DraftKings | +141 | -171 |
| ESPN BET | +145 | -170 |
| Fanatics | +145 | -175 |
| FanDuel | +142 | -168 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +145 | -175 |
| Caesars | +144 | -170 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Reds | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +120 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -117 | −1.5 -104 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -142 | −1.5 +118 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -135 | −1.5 +115 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -140 | −1.5 +115 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -144 | −1.5 +120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -140 | −1.5 +115 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -139 | −1.5 +118 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8.5 -118 | 8.5 -102 |
| BetRivers | 8.5 -115 | 8.5 -106 |
| DraftKings | 8.5 -119 | 8.5 -102 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 -120 | 8.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | 8.5 -120 | 8.5 +100 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 -115 | 8.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 -120 | 8.5 +100 |
| Caesars | 8.5 -113 | 8.5 -105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Cincinnati Reds | Toronto Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 39.4% | 60.6% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 40.8% | 62.7% |
| Kalshi contract price | 39.5% | 60.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 39.5% | 60.5% |
| Markets average | 39.5% | 60.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.