Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning
All Seattle Kraken predictions · All Tampa Bay Lightning predictions
NHL · Thursday, October 15, 2026 · 7:10 PM
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Seattle Kraken | Tampa Bay Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +195 | -235 |
| BetRivers | +195 | -240 |
| DraftKings | +190 | -230 |
| Fanatics | +190 | -235 |
| FanDuel | +198 | -245 |
| Caesars | +192 | -235 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Kraken | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -125 | −1.5 +105 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -137 | −1.5 +110 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -120 | −1.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -120 | −1.5 +100 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -120 | −1.5 -102 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6 -120 | 6 +100 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -136 |
| DraftKings | 6.5 +102 | 6.5 -122 |
| Fanatics | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -125 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 +106 | 6.5 -130 |
| Caesars | 6 -122 | 6 +100 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.
| Venue | Seattle Kraken | Tampa Bay Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 32.7% | 67.3% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 33.6% | 69.7% |
| Kalshi contract price | 32.5% | 67.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.