Tampa Bay Lightning predictions
Every Tampa Bay Lightning game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.
Next game
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Nashville Predators
2026-10-31 · 2:10 PM · Tampa Bay Lightning on the road · see the model's call and the best price →
How the model has done on Tampa Bay Lightning
| Measure | Games | Right | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Every Tampa Bay Lightning game we called | 12 | 10 | 83.3% |
| Games where the model made Tampa Bay Lightning the favorite | 10 | 8 | 80.0% |
A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Tampa Bay Lightning correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.
Recent Tampa Bay Lightning calls
| Date | Game | Called | Confidence | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Winnipeg Jets @ Tampa Bay Lightning | Tampa Bay Lightning | 66.3% | 4-6 | ✓ |
| 2026-10-24 | Tampa Bay Lightning @ Utah Mammoth | Utah Mammoth | 56.9% | 4-5 | ✓ |
| 2026-10-23 | Tampa Bay Lightning @ Colorado Avalanche | Colorado Avalanche | 52.2% | 3-6 | ✓ |
| 2026-10-20 | Tampa Bay Lightning @ Vegas Golden Knights | Tampa Bay Lightning | 50.0% | 6-2 | ✓ |
| 2026-10-17 | Vancouver Canucks @ Tampa Bay Lightning | Tampa Bay Lightning | 76.4% | 2-4 | ✓ |
| 2026-10-15 | Seattle Kraken @ Tampa Bay Lightning | Tampa Bay Lightning | 70.3% | 3-4 | ✓ |
| 2026-10-13 | Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Rangers | Tampa Bay Lightning | 59.6% | 1-4 | ✗ |
| 2026-10-10 | Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Islanders | Tampa Bay Lightning | 61.5% | 5-3 | ✓ |
| 2026-10-08 | Minnesota Wild @ Tampa Bay Lightning | Tampa Bay Lightning | 56.5% | 2-3 | ✓ |
| 2026-10-05 | Philadelphia Flyers @ Tampa Bay Lightning | Tampa Bay Lightning | 66.2% | 1-4 | ✓ |