San Jose Sharks at Toronto Maple Leafs
All San Jose Sharks predictions · All Toronto Maple Leafs predictions
NHL · Monday, October 19, 2026 · 7:40 PM · Final: 1-3
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | San Jose Sharks | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +120 | -145 |
| BetRivers | +114 | -136 |
| DraftKings | +124 | -148 |
| ESPN BET | +125 | -145 |
| Fanatics | +125 | -150 |
| FanDuel | +122 | -146 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +110 | -140 |
| Novig | +135 | -138 |
| Caesars | +120 | -150 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Sharks | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -200 | −1.5 +165 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -230 | −1.5 +180 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -205 | −1.5 +170 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -215 | −1.5 +175 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -205 | −1.5 +165 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -194 | −1.5 +156 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -230 | −1.5 +175 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7 +105 | 7 -130 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 -132 | 6.5 +107 |
| DraftKings | 6.5 -148 | 6.5 +124 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +120 |
| Fanatics | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +120 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 -142 | 6.5 +116 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +115 |
| Caesars | 7 -102 | 7 -121 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | San Jose Sharks | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 43.1% | 56.9% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 42.6% | 57.6% |
| Kalshi contract price | 42.9% | 57.1% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.