Toronto Maple Leafs predictions
Every Toronto Maple Leafs game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.
No upcoming Toronto Maple Leafs game on the board right now —
today's slate has what is live.
How the model has done on Toronto Maple Leafs
| Measure | Games | Right | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Every Toronto Maple Leafs game we called | 16 | 8 | 50.0% |
| Games where the model made Toronto Maple Leafs the favorite | 10 | 5 | 50.0% |
A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Toronto Maple Leafs correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.
Recent Toronto Maple Leafs calls
| Date | Game | Called | Confidence | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Toronto Maple Leafs @ Vancouver Canucks | Toronto Maple Leafs | 63.7% | 4-2 | ✓ |
| 2026-10-28 | Toronto Maple Leafs @ Seattle Kraken | Toronto Maple Leafs | 54.3% | 4-5 | ✗ |
| 2026-10-26 | Toronto Maple Leafs @ Calgary Flames | Toronto Maple Leafs | 55.6% | 2-5 | ✗ |
| 2026-10-24 | Toronto Maple Leafs @ Edmonton Oilers | Edmonton Oilers | 57.2% | 7-2 | ✗ |
| 2026-10-22 | New York Rangers @ Toronto Maple Leafs | Toronto Maple Leafs | 50.0% | 4-5 | ✓ |
| 2026-10-20 | Toronto Maple Leafs @ Columbus Blue Jackets | Columbus Blue Jackets | 59.4% | 6-2 | ✗ |
| 2026-10-19 | San Jose Sharks @ Toronto Maple Leafs | Toronto Maple Leafs | 56.9% | 1-3 | ✓ |
| 2026-10-17 | New York Islanders @ Toronto Maple Leafs | Toronto Maple Leafs | 54.3% | 4-1 | ✗ |
| 2026-10-15 | Buffalo Sabres @ Toronto Maple Leafs | Toronto Maple Leafs | 51.1% | 5-4 | ✗ |
| 2026-10-13 | Toronto Maple Leafs @ Utah Mammoth | Utah Mammoth | 59.3% | 4-5 | ✓ |