Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights
All Tampa Bay Lightning predictions · All Vegas Golden Knights predictions
NHL · Tuesday, October 20, 2026 · 10:40 PM · Final: 6-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Tampa Bay Lightning | Vegas Golden Knights |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -110 | -110 |
| BetRivers | -103 | -115 |
| DraftKings | -110 | -110 |
| ESPN BET | -110 | -110 |
| Fanatics | -110 | -110 |
| FanDuel | -110 | -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -115 | -115 |
| Novig | -102 | +100 |
| Caesars | -108 | -111 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Lightning | Golden Knights |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -275 | −1.5 +220 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -278 | −1.5 +215 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -270 | −1.5 +220 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -325 | −1.5 +220 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +220 | +1.5 -285 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -265 | −1.5 +210 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -300 | −1.5 +200 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6 -120 | 6 +100 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 +104 | 6.5 -129 |
| DraftKings | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -130 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -120 |
| Fanatics | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -135 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 +112 | 6.5 -138 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 6 -120 | 6 -104 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Tampa Bay Lightning | Vegas Golden Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 50.5% | 50.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 50.5% | 49.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.