Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers
All Tampa Bay Rays predictions · All Milwaukee Brewers predictions
MLB · Friday, October 23, 2026 · 8:00 PM · Final: 2-3
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Tampa Bay Rays | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +155 | -190 |
| BetRivers | +160 | -195 |
| DraftKings | +165 | -186 |
| ESPN BET | +166 | -178 |
| Fanatics | +155 | -190 |
| FanDuel | +164 | -184 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +160 | -190 |
| Novig | +167 | -170 |
| Caesars | +157 | -190 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Rays | Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +125 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -148 | −1.5 +120 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -149 | −1.5 +123 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +130 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +125 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -152 | −1.5 +126 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +125 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -138 | −1.5 +120 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 -109 | 6.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 -113 | 6.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -102 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Tampa Bay Rays | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 37.5% | 63.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Markets average | 37.0% | 63.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.