New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs
All New York Rangers predictions · All Toronto Maple Leafs predictions
NHL · Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 7:08 PM · Final: 4-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New York Rangers | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -110 | -110 |
| BetRivers | -110 | -107 |
| DraftKings | -112 | -108 |
| ESPN BET | -110 | -110 |
| Fanatics | -115 | -105 |
| FanDuel | -110 | -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -115 | -115 |
| Novig | -106 | +102 |
| Caesars | -108 | -110 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Rangers | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -275 | −1.5 +220 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +225 | +1.5 -286 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +220 | +1.5 -270 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +215 | +1.5 -290 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +210 | +1.5 -270 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +205 | +1.5 -260 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +200 | +1.5 -300 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 6.5 -107 | 6.5 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | New York Rangers | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 51.5% | 49.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 51.5% | 48.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.