Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat
All Detroit Pistons predictions · All Miami Heat predictions
NBA · Friday, October 23, 2026 · 8:12 PM · Final: 128-111
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -130 | +105 |
| BetRivers | -122 | +102 |
| DraftKings | -130 | +110 |
| ESPN BET | -130 | +110 |
| Fanatics | -130 | +110 |
| FanDuel | -126 | +108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -125 | +105 |
| Novig | -120 | +117 |
| Caesars | -125 | +105 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Pistons | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 -118 | +1.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | −2.5 -105 | +2.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | −2.5 -105 | +2.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | −2 -110 | +2 -110 |
| FanDuel | −2.5 -104 | +2.5 -118 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 -115 | +1.5 -105 |
| Caesars | −2 -110 | +2 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 235.5 -110 | 235.5 -118 |
| BetRivers | 234.5 -115 | 234.5 -106 |
| DraftKings | 235.5 -105 | 235.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 235.5 -110 | 235.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 235 -110 | 235 -110 |
| FanDuel | 235.5 -105 | 235.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 235.5 -110 | 235.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 235.5 -115 | 235.5 -105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 53.7% | 46.3% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 54.5% | 46.1% |
| Kalshi contract price | 53.5% | 46.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.