Miami Heat predictions
Every Miami Heat game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.
Next game
2026-10-30 · 8:10 PM · Miami Heat at home · see the model's call and the best price →
How the model has done on Miami Heat
| Measure | Games | Right | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Every Miami Heat game we called | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| Games where the model made Miami Heat the favorite | 3 | 0 | 0.0% |
A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Miami Heat correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.
Recent Miami Heat calls
| Date | Game | Called | Confidence | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks | Atlanta Hawks | 56.4% | 129-117 | ✗ |
| 2026-10-26 | Dallas Mavericks @ Miami Heat | Miami Heat | 70.2% | 113-109 | ✗ |
| 2026-10-24 | Miami Heat @ Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | 61.6% | 110-115 | ✗ |
| 2026-10-23 | Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | 53.7% | 128-111 | ✓ |
| 2026-10-21 | Minnesota Timberwolves @ Miami Heat | Miami Heat | 52.6% | 131-106 | ✗ |