Toronto Maple Leafs at Edmonton Oilers
All Toronto Maple Leafs predictions · All Edmonton Oilers predictions
NHL · Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 7:15 PM · Final: 7-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Toronto Maple Leafs | Edmonton Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +125 | -150 |
| BetRivers | +130 | -157 |
| DraftKings | +124 | -148 |
| ESPN BET | +125 | -145 |
| Fanatics | +120 | -145 |
| FanDuel | +122 | -146 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +120 | -155 |
| Novig | +138 | -141 |
| Caesars | +122 | -152 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Maple Leafs | Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -185 | −1.5 +150 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -186 | −1.5 +148 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -185 | −1.5 +154 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -200 | −1.5 +165 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +155 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -188 | −1.5 +146 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -210 | −1.5 +160 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7 -102 | 7 -118 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 -159 | 6.5 +128 |
| DraftKings | 6.5 -162 | 6.5 +136 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 -165 | 6.5 +130 |
| Fanatics | 6.5 -165 | 6.5 +135 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 -160 | 6.5 +130 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 -165 | 6.5 +130 |
| Caesars | 7 -109 | 7 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Toronto Maple Leafs | Edmonton Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 42.8% | 57.2% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 42.0% | 58.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 41.5% | 58.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.