Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets
All Miami Heat predictions · All Charlotte Hornets predictions
NBA · Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 6:10 PM · Final: 110-115
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Miami Heat | Charlotte Hornets |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -185 | +150 |
| BetRivers | -180 | +148 |
| DraftKings | -180 | +150 |
| ESPN BET | -175 | +150 |
| Fanatics | -180 | +150 |
| FanDuel | -168 | +142 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -180 | +155 |
| Novig | -170 | +167 |
| Caesars | -190 | +158 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Heat | Hornets |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −4.5 -110 | +4.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | −4.5 -114 | +4.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | −4.5 -108 | +4.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | −4.5 -110 | +4.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | −4.5 -110 | +4.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | −4.5 -110 | +4.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −4.5 -110 | +4.5 -110 |
| Caesars | −5 -105 | +5 -115 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 227.5 -110 | 227.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 228.5 -114 | 228.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | 227.5 -110 | 227.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 227.5 -105 | 227.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 228 -110 | 228 -110 |
| FanDuel | 227.5 -110 | 227.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 227.5 -115 | 227.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 229.5 +105 | 229.5 -125 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Miami Heat | Charlotte Hornets |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 61.6% | 38.4% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 62.7% | 37.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 63.5% | 36.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.