Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames
All Toronto Maple Leafs predictions · All Calgary Flames predictions
NHL · Monday, October 26, 2026 · 8:42 PM · Final: 2-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Toronto Maple Leafs | Calgary Flames |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -140 | +118 |
| BetRivers | -141 | +118 |
| DraftKings | -135 | +114 |
| ESPN BET | -135 | +115 |
| Fanatics | -140 | +115 |
| FanDuel | -142 | +118 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -140 | +110 |
| Novig | -127 | +122 |
| Caesars | -139 | +117 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Maple Leafs | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +165 | +1.5 -200 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +165 | +1.5 -210 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +164 | +1.5 -198 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +175 | +1.5 -215 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +165 | +1.5 -205 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +160 | +1.5 -200 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +175 | +1.5 -230 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 +100 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 -121 | 6.5 -104 |
| DraftKings | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 +100 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 +105 |
| Fanatics | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 +100 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 -128 | 6.5 +104 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 +100 |
| Caesars | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 +102 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Toronto Maple Leafs | Calgary Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 55.6% | 44.4% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 55.9% | 45.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 55.5% | 44.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.