Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Miami Hurricanes at North Carolina Tar Heels

All Miami Hurricanes predictions · All North Carolina Tar Heels predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 7:30 PM

The model's call
Miami Hurricanes to win
Model confidence 83.2%
Books consensus 83.2%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Miami HurricanesNorth Carolina Tar Heels
BetMGM -625 +475
BetRivers -770 +500
DraftKings -625 +455
ESPN BET -650 +425
Fanatics -650 +475
FanDuel -650 +470
Hard Rock Bet -750 +500
Novig -545 +506
Caesars -625 +450

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Miami −14
priced 50.2% to cover · 4 books, 4 on another number
opened Miami −14.5
Total
O/U 53.5
priced 49.7% over · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened 52.5
Spread by book MiamiNorth Carolina
BetMGM −14 -108 +14 -110
BetRivers −14.5 -110 +14.5 -113
DraftKings −14 -112 +14 -108
ESPN BET −14.5 -105 +14.5 -115
Fanatics −14 -110 +14 -110
FanDuel −14.5 -104 +14.5 -118
Hard Rock Bet −14.5 -110 +14.5 -110
Caesars −14 -114 +14 -106
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 53.5 -108 53.5 -110
BetRivers 53.5 -110 53.5 -113
DraftKings 53.5 -108 53.5 -112
ESPN BET 52.5 -110 52.5 -110
Fanatics 53 -110 53 -110
FanDuel 52.5 -115 52.5 -105
Hard Rock Bet 53.5 -110 53.5 -110
Caesars 53.5 -106 53.5 -114
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