North Carolina Tar Heels predictions
Every North Carolina Tar Heels game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.
Next game
Miami Hurricanes @ North Carolina Tar Heels
2026-10-31 · 7:30 PM · North Carolina Tar Heels at home · see the model's call and the best price →
How the model has done on North Carolina Tar Heels
| Measure | Games | Right | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Every North Carolina Tar Heels game we called | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Games where the model made North Carolina Tar Heels the favorite | 0 | 0 | — |
A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads North Carolina Tar Heels correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.
Recent North Carolina Tar Heels calls
| Date | Game | Called | Confidence | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | North Carolina Tar Heels @ Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils | 57.8% | 24-20 | ✗ |