Philadelphia Phillies at Kansas City Royals
MLB · Sunday, July 5, 2026 · 3:01 PM · Final: 2-5
The model's call
Philadelphia Phillies to win
Model confidence 55.2%
Books consensus 55.2%
Result Kansas City Royals won
model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
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