Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays
All Milwaukee Brewers predictions · All Tampa Bay Rays predictions
MLB · Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 8:10 PM · Final: 4-1
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Milwaukee Brewers | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -145 | +120 |
| BetRivers | -137 | +115 |
| DraftKings | -137 | +122 |
| ESPN BET | -138 | +126 |
| Fanatics | -140 | +115 |
| FanDuel | -136 | +122 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -145 | +125 |
| Novig | -130 | +127 |
| Caesars | -143 | +123 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Brewers | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -150 |
| BetRivers | −1 +100 | +1 -122 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +134 | +1.5 -162 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +135 | +1.5 -160 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +130 | +1.5 -160 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +130 | +1.5 -156 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -155 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +130 | +1.5 -152 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6 -120 | 6 +100 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 -103 | 6.5 -120 |
| DraftKings | 6 -112 | 6 -107 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -125 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 +104 | 6.5 -128 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -120 |
| Caesars | 6 -117 | 6 -102 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Milwaukee Brewers | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 56.2% | 43.8% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 56.5% | 44.1% |
| Kalshi contract price | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| Markets average | 56.5% | 43.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.