Winnipeg Jets at Tampa Bay Lightning
All Winnipeg Jets predictions · All Tampa Bay Lightning predictions
NHL · Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 7:09 PM · Final: 4-6
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Winnipeg Jets | Tampa Bay Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +180 | -220 |
| BetRivers | +185 | -225 |
| DraftKings | +185 | -225 |
| ESPN BET | +180 | -215 |
| Fanatics | +180 | -220 |
| FanDuel | +184 | -225 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +175 | -230 |
| Novig | +203 | -208 |
| Caesars | +185 | -225 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Jets | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -140 | −1.5 +118 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -141 | −1.5 +114 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -142 | −1.5 +120 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +120 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -140 | −1.5 +115 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -142 | −1.5 +116 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +115 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6 -110 | 6 -110 |
| BetRivers | 5.5 -141 | 5.5 +112 |
| DraftKings | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +114 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -145 |
| Fanatics | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +115 |
| FanDuel | 5.5 -142 | 5.5 +116 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -130 |
| Caesars | 6 -109 | 6 -113 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Winnipeg Jets | Tampa Bay Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 33.7% | 66.3% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 33.0% | 67.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 32.5% | 67.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.