Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Columbus Blue Jackets at Dallas Stars

All Columbus Blue Jackets predictions · All Dallas Stars predictions

NHL · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 8:10 PM

The model's call
Dallas Stars to win
Model confidence 62.3%
Books consensus 62.3%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Columbus Blue JacketsDallas Stars
BetMGM +154 -190
BetRivers +150 -182
DraftKings +154 -185
Fanatics +155 -190
FanDuel +152 -184
Novig +170 -174
Caesars +154 -182

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Stars −1.5
priced 40.6% to cover · 5 books
Total
O/U 5.5
priced 51.1% over · 6 books
Spread by book Blue JacketsStars
BetMGM +1.5 -160 −1.5 +135
BetRivers +1.5 -186 −1.5 +148
DraftKings +1.5 -166 −1.5 +140
Fanatics +1.5 -165 −1.5 +135
FanDuel +1.5 -164 −1.5 +134
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 5.5 -115 5.5 -105
BetRivers 5.5 -122 5.5 -103
DraftKings 5.5 -115 5.5 -105
Fanatics 5.5 -115 5.5 -105
FanDuel 5.5 -110 5.5 -110
Caesars 5.5 -120 5.5 -104

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Columbus Blue JacketsDallas Stars
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 37.7% 62.3%
Best book price incl. vig 37.0% 63.5%
Kalshi contract price 36.8% 63.2%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts involve risk; this is not investment advice.

Back to today's board · The full record