Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Dallas Stars predictions

Every Dallas Stars game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.

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How the model has done on Dallas Stars

MeasureGamesRight Hit rate
Every Dallas Stars game we called 136 46.2%
Games where the model made Dallas Stars the favorite 126 50.0%

A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Dallas Stars correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.

Recent Dallas Stars calls

DateGameCalled ConfidenceFinal
2026-10-29 Montréal Canadiens @ Dallas Stars Dallas Stars 61.6% 5-2 ✗
2026-10-27 New Jersey Devils @ Dallas Stars Dallas Stars 51.7% 5-1 ✗
2026-10-25 New York Islanders @ Dallas Stars Dallas Stars 61.9% 3-6 ✓
2026-10-22 Winnipeg Jets @ Dallas Stars Dallas Stars 63.8% 2-3 ✓
2026-10-20 Boston Bruins @ Dallas Stars Dallas Stars 59.7% 2-3 ✓
2026-10-17 Dallas Stars @ Chicago Blackhawks Dallas Stars 65.7% 4-0 ✓
2026-10-14 Dallas Stars @ Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche 59.0% 3-2 ✗
2026-10-13 Colorado Avalanche @ Dallas Stars Dallas Stars 51.1% 3-2 ✗
2026-10-10 Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins Dallas Stars 61.3% 1-2 ✗
2026-10-08 Dallas Stars @ Buffalo Sabres Dallas Stars 53.0% 4-0 ✓

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