Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

North Carolina Tar Heels at UConn Huskies

All North Carolina Tar Heels predictions · All UConn Huskies predictions

College Football · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:00 PM

The model's call
North Carolina Tar Heels to win
Model confidence 71.8%
Books consensus 71.8%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book North Carolina Tar HeelsUConn Huskies
BetRivers -305 +230
Fanatics -300 +240
FanDuel -320 +260
Hard Rock Bet -300 +230
Novig -100000 +233

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
North Carolina −8.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 1 book, 3 on another number
opened North Carolina −7.5
Total
O/U 52.5
priced 49.5% over · 3 books, 1 on another number
opened 51.5
Spread by book North CarolinaUConn
BetRivers −7 -121 +7 -103
Fanatics −7.5 -105 +7.5 -115
FanDuel −8.5 -110 +8.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet −6.5 -130 +6.5 +110
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 52.5 -109 52.5 -114
Fanatics 52 -110 52 -110
FanDuel 52.5 -106 52.5 -114
Hard Rock Bet 52.5 -110 52.5 -110
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