Louisville Cardinals at North Carolina Tar Heels
All Louisville Cardinals predictions · All North Carolina Tar Heels predictions
College Football · Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 7:00 PM
The model's call
Louisville Cardinals to win
Model confidence 60.4%
Books consensus 60.4%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Louisville Cardinals | North Carolina Tar Heels |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -175 | +140 |
| BetRivers | -175 | +138 |
| DraftKings | -170 | +142 |
| ESPN BET | -170 | +145 |
| Fanatics | -175 | +145 |
| FanDuel | -170 | +140 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -170 | +140 |
| Novig | -167 | +153 |
| Caesars | -164 | +138 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Louisville −3.5
priced 49.7% to cover · 8 books
opened Louisville −2.5
Total
O/U 60.5
priced 50.7% over · 3 books, 5 on another number
| Spread by book | Louisville | North Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −3.5 -108 | +3.5 -112 |
| BetRivers | −3.5 -107 | +3.5 -117 |
| DraftKings | −3.5 -110 | +3.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | −3.5 -110 | +3.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | −3.5 -105 | +3.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | −3.5 -110 | +3.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −3.5 -105 | +3.5 -115 |
| Caesars | −3.5 -109 | +3.5 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 59.5 -110 | 59.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | 60.5 -115 | 60.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | 60.5 -108 | 60.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | 59.5 -115 | 59.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 60 -110 | 60 -110 |
| FanDuel | 59.5 -110 | 59.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 60.5 -115 | 60.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 60 -110 | 60 -109 |
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