Montréal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs
All Montréal Canadiens predictions · All Toronto Maple Leafs predictions
NHL · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 7:15 PM · Final: 4-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Montréal Canadiens | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -120 | +100 |
| BetRivers | -113 | -106 |
| DraftKings | -122 | +102 |
| ESPN BET | -125 | +105 |
| Fanatics | -125 | +105 |
| FanDuel | -125 | +104 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -125 | -105 |
| Novig | -115 | +111 |
| Caesars | -125 | +107 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Canadiens | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +195 | +1.5 -235 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +210 | +1.5 -275 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +205 | +1.5 -250 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +200 | +1.5 -250 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +190 | +1.5 -240 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +190 | +1.5 -240 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +180 | +1.5 -250 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +190 | +1.5 -235 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6.5 -118 | 6.5 -102 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -105 |
| DraftKings | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 +100 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 -122 | 6.5 +100 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 6.5 -118 | 6.5 -107 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Montréal Canadiens | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 53.1% | 47.4% |
| Kalshi contract price | 53.5% | 46.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.