Tampa Bay Lightning at Minnesota Wild
All Tampa Bay Lightning predictions · All Minnesota Wild predictions
NHL · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 8:09 PM · Final: 4-3
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Tampa Bay Lightning | Minnesota Wild |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -135 | +115 |
| BetRivers | -139 | +117 |
| DraftKings | -142 | +120 |
| ESPN BET | -135 | +115 |
| Fanatics | -140 | +115 |
| FanDuel | -134 | +112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -140 | +110 |
| Novig | -130 | +127 |
| Caesars | -137 | +116 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Lightning | Wild |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +170 | +1.5 -210 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +165 | +1.5 -215 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +170 | +1.5 -205 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +180 | +1.5 -225 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +170 | +1.5 -215 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +172 | +1.5 -215 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +175 | +1.5 -230 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +170 | +1.5 -205 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 -109 | 6.5 -114 |
| DraftKings | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 -118 | 6.5 -104 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -102 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Tampa Bay Lightning | Minnesota Wild |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 56.5% | 44.1% |
| Kalshi contract price | 56.5% | 43.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.